Scottish Premier League Football Prediction Ratings 2009/2010
Prediction Ratings are what they say they are - ratings that will tell you where the value bet is. They are based on the last 4 home matches and the last 4 away matches.
The ratings are based on attacking play in previous performances, which is the only way you can realistically rate a team properly.
What do the numbers mean?
I like to say that 20pts difference is the same as 1 clear goal superior to the other team.
Ok here is an example of 3 matches and I'll explain how I see what the ratings are telling me:
Example 1
Arsenal 91 v 21 Hull +70 1.22 4.40 15.00
This would suggest Arsenal are no value at all. The ratings have them over 2 goals superior, so an obvious win on the cards.
Example 2
Wigan 45 v Arsenal 23 +22 4.30 3.15 1.60
This would suggest that backing Wigan and the draw is good value, as Arsenal seem to be average away from home.
Example 3
Leeds 67 v 35 Leicester +32 2.50 3.25 2.50
This would suggest backing Leeds and the draw would be a strong bet, as they are clearly superior and perhaps Leicester were being priced on reputation, rather than actual performances.
From Mid December 2009 - Additional Ratings!
You will see that there are 2 numbers in the centre as well now. This denotes each teams average over the last 2 games, which should give the ratings another level of accuracy.
Below are the latest prediction ratings for the Scottish Premier League.
| 09/03/2010 | Kilmarnock | 31.00 | 29.50 - 68.00 | 51.25 | Rangers | -20.25 |
| 09/03/2010 | St Mirren | 28.75 | 25.00 - 36.00 | 50.25 | Motherwell | -21.50 |
| 06/03/2010 | Hamilton Academical | 29.50 | 29.50 - 31.00 | 39.25 | Aberdeen | -9.75 |
| 06/03/2010 | Hibernian | 46.00 | 34.50 - 32.50 | 27.00 | Kilmarnock | +19.00 |
| 06/03/2010 | Rangers | 57.25 | 56.00 - 20.50 | 16.50 | St Mirren | +40.75 |
| 06/03/2010 | St Johnstone | 40.00 | 65.00 - 48.50 | 53.50 | Motherwell | -13.50 |
| 07/03/2010 | Dundee Utd | 38.25 | 31.50 - 16.00 | 17.25 | Hearts | +21.00 |
| 07/03/2010 | Falkirk | 30.00 | 34.00 - 52.50 | 45.00 | Celtic | -15.00 |
| 27/02/2010 | Aberdeen | 39.25 | 27.50 - 3.50 | 16.50 | Hearts | +22.75 |
| 27/02/2010 | Dundee Utd | 39.00 | 31.50 - 30.00 | 31.00 | Falkirk | +8.00 |
| 27/02/2010 | Hibernian | 44.00 | 43.50 - 38.50 | 43.75 | St Johnstone | +0.25 |
| 27/02/2010 | Motherwell | 38.00 | 37.50 - 37.50 | 25.75 | Kilmarnock | +12.25 |
| 27/02/2010 | St Mirren | 27.00 | 34.50 - 34.00 | 34.75 | Hamilton Academical | -7.75 |
| 28/02/2010 | Rangers | 62.75 | 54.00 - 61.00 | 75.00 | Celtic | -12.25 |
| 20/02/2010 | Celtic | 50.25 | 50.50 - 54.50 | 54.75 | Dundee Utd | -4.50 |
| 20/02/2010 | Falkirk | 24.25 | 21.50 - 43.50 | 39.50 | Aberdeen | -15.25 |
| 20/02/2010 | Kilmarnock | 29.00 | 22.50 - 12.50 | 13.50 | St Mirren | +15.50 |
| 20/02/2010 | Motherwell | 35.00 | 36.00 - 16.00 | 23.00 | Hibernian | +12.00 |
| 20/02/2010 | St Johnstone | 40.00 | 65.00 - 68.00 | 51.25 | Rangers | -11.25 |
| 21/02/2010 | Hearts | 29.25 | 23.50 - 41.00 | 31.25 | Hamilton Academical | -2.00 |
| 17/02/2010 | St Johnstone | 32.50 | 27.50 - 31.00 | 29.75 | Hibernian | +2.75 |
| 13/02/2010 | Aberdeen | 38.00 | 38.50 - 37.50 | 67.75 | Celtic | -29.75 |
| 13/02/2010 | Hamilton Academical | 21.00 | 20.50 - 64.50 | 62.75 | Motherwell | -41.75 |
| 13/02/2010 | Hearts | 26.75 | 23.00 - 38.00 | 39.25 | Falkirk | -12.50 |
| 13/02/2010 | Kilmarnock | 29.75 | 32.50 - 40.00 | 39.50 | St Johnstone | -9.75 |
| 13/02/2010 | St Mirren | 26.50 | 32.50 - 67.50 | 50.50 | Dundee Utd | -24.00 |
| 14/02/2010 | Rangers | 71.00 | 58.50 - 30.00 | 30.75 | Hibernian | +40.25 |
| 10/02/2010 | Celtic | 58.75 | 50.50 - 18.50 | 24.00 | Hearts | +34.75 |
| 10/02/2010 | Dundee Utd | 45.50 | 45.00 - 35.50 | 26.25 | Hamilton Academical | +19.25 |
| 10/02/2010 | Falkirk | 28.50 | 26.00 - 21.50 | 18.00 | Kilmarnock | +10.50 |
| 10/02/2010 | Hibernian | 37.00 | 57.50 - 47.50 | 31.50 | Aberdeen | +5.50 |
| 10/02/2010 | Motherwell | 29.50 | 38.50 - 70.50 | 56.00 | Rangers | -26.50 |
| 10/02/2010 | St Mirren | 23.25 | 19.50 - 49.00 | 37.50 | St Johnstone | -14.25 |
| 06/02/2010 | Motherwell | 25.50 | 34.00 - 21.50 | 26.75 | Hamilton Academical | -1.25 |
| 30/01/2010 | Aberdeen | 30.50 | 37.50 - 58.50 | 44.50 | Motherwell | -14.00 |
| 30/01/2010 | Hamilton Academical | 29.25 | 29.50 - 98.00 | 81.00 | Celtic | -51.75 |
| 30/01/2010 | Hibernian | 39.00 | 44.50 - 12.50 | 17.00 | St Mirren | +22.00 |
| 30/01/2010 | Kilmarnock | 34.25 | 27.00 - 55.00 | 40.00 | Dundee Utd | -5.75 |
| 30/01/2010 | Rangers | 73.75 | 71.50 - 40.50 | 36.25 | Falkirk | +37.50 |
| 30/01/2010 | St Johnstone | 30.00 | 15.00 - 29.50 | 27.25 | Hearts | +2.75 |
| 26/01/2010 | Hamilton Academical | 25.25 | 21.50 - 14.00 | 15.25 | Kilmarnock | +10.00 |
| 27/01/2010 | Celtic | 67.00 | 50.00 - 28.50 | 30.00 | Hibernian | +37.00 |
| 27/01/2010 | Dundee Utd | 38.50 | 46.50 - 39.00 | 42.50 | St Johnstone | -4.00 |
| 27/01/2010 | Falkirk | 31.50 | 27.00 - 61.00 | 35.00 | Motherwell | -3.50 |
| 27/01/2010 | Hearts | 27.00 | 35.00 - 35.50 | 30.25 | Aberdeen | -3.25 |
| 27/01/2010 | St Mirren | 24.75 | 20.50 - 34.50 | 49.75 | Rangers | -25.00 |
| 23/01/2010 | Aberdeen | 27.50 | 28.00 - 14.50 | 21.00 | Kilmarnock | +6.50 |
| 23/01/2010 | Hibernian | 39.50 | 16.50 - 17.00 | 28.50 | Hamilton Academical | +11.00 |
| 23/01/2010 | Motherwell | 24.25 | 20.50 - 14.50 | 18.75 | St Mirren | +5.50 |
| 23/01/2010 | Rangers | 74.00 | 83.50 - 29.50 | 29.25 | Hearts | +44.75 |
| 24/01/2010 | Falkirk | 35.75 | 31.00 - 33.50 | 31.00 | Dundee Utd | +4.75 |
| 24/01/2010 | St Johnstone | 42.50 | 37.50 - 80.50 | 65.50 | Celtic | -23.00 |
| 16/01/2010 | Celtic | 71.25 | 67.00 - 42.50 | 37.25 | Falkirk | +34.00 |
| 16/01/2010 | Dundee Utd | 35.50 | 46.00 - 31.50 | 33.50 | Hibernian | +2.00 |
| 16/01/2010 | Hamilton Academical | 26.00 | 29.00 - 41.50 | 58.50 | Rangers | -32.50 |
| 16/01/2010 | Hearts | 23.00 | 30.50 - 21.50 | 22.00 | St Mirren | +1.00 |
| 16/01/2010 | Kilmarnock | 36.75 | 36.50 - 30.50 | 29.50 | Motherwell | +7.25 |
| 16/01/2010 | St Johnstone | 42.50 | 37.50 - 35.50 | 30.25 | Aberdeen | +12.25 |
| 02/01/2010 | Dundee Utd | 32.25 | 30.50 - 25.00 | 24.50 | Aberdeen | +7.75 |
| 02/01/2010 | Falkirk | 35.75 | 31.00 - 39.00 | 42.50 | St Johnstone | -6.75 |
| 02/01/2010 | Motherwell | 24.25 | 20.50 - 17.00 | 28.50 | Hamilton Academical | -4.25 |
| 02/01/2010 | St Mirren | 28.25 | 29.00 - 16.50 | 19.25 | Kilmarnock | +9.00 |
| 03/01/2010 | Celtic | 80.75 | 84.00 - 65.00 | 63.50 | Rangers | +17.25 |
| 03/01/2010 | Hibernian | 48.25 | 33.50 - 25.00 | 27.00 | Hearts | +21.25 |
| 29/12/2009 | Aberdeen | 27.50 | 28.00 - 42.50 | 37.25 | Falkirk | -9.75 |
| 30/12/2009 | Hamilton Academical | 26.50 | 29.00 - 21.50 | 22.00 | St Mirren | +4.50 |
| 30/12/2009 | Hearts | 30.75 | 19.00 - 9.00 | 28.50 | Motherwell | +2.25 |
| 30/12/2009 | Kilmarnock | 36.75 | 36.50 - 80.50 | 65.50 | Celtic | -28.75 |
| 30/12/2009 | Rangers | 66.75 | 76.00 - 28.50 | 43.00 | Dundee Utd | +23.75 |
| 30/12/2009 | St Johnstone | 42.50 | 37.50 - 31.50 | 33.50 | Hibernian | +9.00 |
| 26/12/2009 | Celtic | 76.50 | 75.50 - 32.00 | 36.00 | Hamilton Academical | +40.50 |
| 26/12/2009 | Dundee Utd | 28.50 | 25.00 - 27.50 | 18.00 | Kilmarnock | +10.50 |
| 26/12/2009 | Falkirk | 31.75 | 36.00 - 29.00 | 28.50 | Hearts | +3.25 |
| 26/12/2009 | Motherwell | 27.00 | 17.00 - 26.00 | 31.50 | St Johnstone | -4.50 |
| 26/12/2009 | St Mirren | 28.25 | 29.00 - 25.00 | 24.50 | Aberdeen | +3.75 |
| 27/12/2009 | Hibernian | 57.00 | 62.50 - 75.50 | 60.25 | Rangers | -3.25 |
| 19/12/2009 | Aberdeen | 24.50 | 23.50 - 31.50 | 44.00 | Hibernian | -19.50 |
| 19/12/2009 | Hamilton Academical | 26.50 | 29.00 - 28.50 | 43.00 | Dundee Utd | -16.50 |
| 19/12/2009 | Kilmarnock | 32.75 | 41.50 - 32.00 | 30.50 | Falkirk | +2.25 |
| 19/12/2009 | Rangers | 61.25 | 64.50 - 28.50 | 33.50 | Motherwell | +27.75 |
| 19/12/2009 | St Johnstone | 43.50 | 45.00 - 23.00 | 32.00 | St Mirren | +11.50 |
| 20/12/2009 | Hearts | 33.50 | 15.50 - 64.00 | 61.25 | Celtic | -27.75 |
| 15/12/2009 | Dundee Utd | 33.50 | - | 51.75 | Rangers | -18.25 |
| 12/12/2009 | Aberdeen | 23.50 | - | 33.50 | Hamilton Academical | -10.00 |
| 12/12/2009 | Hearts | 37.00 | - | 48.50 | Dundee Utd | -11.50 |
| 12/12/2009 | Kilmarnock | 34.00 | - | 49.00 | Hibernian | -15.00 |
| 12/12/2009 | Motherwell | 29.00 | - | 44.75 | Celtic | -15.75 |
| 12/12/2009 | Rangers | 51.75 | - | 40.00 | St Johnstone | +11.75 |
| 12/12/2009 | St Mirren | 26.75 | - | 24.50 | Falkirk | +2.25 |
| 05/12/2009 | Celtic | 76.25 | - | 30.00 | Aberdeen | +46.25 |
| 05/12/2009 | Dundee Utd | 37.00 | - | 27.00 | St Mirren | +10.00 |
| 05/12/2009 | Falkirk | 29.00 | - | 47.25 | Rangers | -18.25 |
| 05/12/2009 | Hibernian | 54.50 | - | 37.75 | Motherwell | +16.75 |
| 05/12/2009 | St Johnstone | 36.25 | - | 18.50 | Kilmarnock | +17.75 |
| 06/12/2009 | Hamilton Academical | 22.25 | - | 29.75 | Hearts | -7.50 |
| 28/11/2009 | Aberdeen | 25.50 | - | 44.25 | Rangers | -18.75 |
| 28/11/2009 | Celtic | 66.75 | - | 32.50 | St Mirren | +34.25 |
| 28/11/2009 | Hibernian | 44.00 | - | 28.50 | Falkirk | +15.50 |
| 28/11/2009 | Kilmarnock | 31.25 | - | 27.00 | Hearts | +4.25 |
| 28/11/2009 | Motherwell | 28.50 | - | 47.75 | Dundee Utd | -19.25 |
| 28/11/2009 | St Johnstone | 36.25 | - | 35.25 | Hamilton Academical | +1.00 |
| 21/11/2009 | Falkirk | 30.25 | - | 27.00 | Hamilton Academical | +3.25 |
| 21/11/2009 | Hearts | 43.50 | - | 38.00 | St Johnstone | +5.50 |
| 21/11/2009 | Motherwell | 22.50 | - | 29.75 | Aberdeen | -7.25 |
| 21/11/2009 | Rangers | 50.75 | - | 18.00 | Kilmarnock | +32.75 |
| 21/11/2009 | St Mirren | 21.00 | - | 44.00 | Hibernian | -23.00 |
| 22/11/2009 | Dundee Utd | 35.75 | - | 48.00 | Celtic | -12.25 |
| 31/10/2009 | Celtic | 60.75 | - | 25.00 | Kilmarnock | +35.75 |
| 31/10/2009 | Hibernian | 38.25 | - | 44.75 | Aberdeen | -6.50 |
| 31/10/2009 | Motherwell | 26.25 | - | 33.00 | Hearts | -6.75 |
| 31/10/2009 | St Johnstone | 32.75 | - | 23.75 | Falkirk | +9.00 |
| 31/10/2009 | St Mirren | 22.25 | - | 21.50 | Hamilton Academical | +0.75 |
| 01/11/2009 | Dundee Utd | 35.75 | - | 44.25 | Rangers | -8.50 |
| 24/10/2009 | Aberdeen | 14.00 | - | 31.00 | Dundee Utd | -17.00 |
| 24/10/2009 | Hearts | 38.00 | - | 29.25 | Falkirk | +8.75 |
| 24/10/2009 | Kilmarnock | 37.00 | - | 41.25 | St Johnstone | -4.25 |
| 24/10/2009 | Rangers | 61.50 | - | 38.67 | Hibernian | +22.83 |
| 24/10/2009 | St Mirren | 19.25 | - | 29.25 | Motherwell | -10.00 |
| 25/10/2009 | Hamilton Academical | 21.00 | - | 55.00 | Celtic | -34.00 |
| 17/10/2009 | Aberdeen | 14.00 | - | 31.50 | Hearts | -17.50 |
| 17/10/2009 | Celtic | 60.33 | - | 28.67 | Motherwell | +31.67 |
| 17/10/2009 | Dundee Utd | 38.33 | - | 23.00 | Hamilton Academical | +15.33 |
| 17/10/2009 | Falkirk | 28.67 | - | 19.67 | St Mirren | +9.00 |
| 17/10/2009 | Hibernian | 42.50 | - | 29.33 | Kilmarnock | +13.17 |
| 17/10/2009 | St Johnstone | 32.67 | - | 44.00 | Rangers | -11.33 |
| 03/10/2009 | Hamilton Academical | 21.67 | - | 37.67 | St Johnstone | -16.00 |
| 03/10/2009 | Hibernian | 42.67 | - | 28.33 | Dundee Utd | +14.33 |
| 03/10/2009 | Kilmarnock | 35.00 | - | 49.67 | Aberdeen | -14.67 |
| 03/10/2009 | Motherwell | 27.67 | - | 34.67 | Falkirk | -7.00 |
| 03/10/2009 | St Mirren | 18.00 | - | 33.33 | Hearts | -15.33 |
| 04/10/2009 | Rangers | 71.67 | - | 64.00 | Celtic | +7.67 |
| 26/09/2009 | Falkirk | 33.50 | - | 35.00 | Kilmarnock | -1.50 |
| 26/09/2009 | Hearts | 42.50 | - | 12.50 | Hamilton | +30.00 |
| 26/09/2009 | Motherwell | 32.50 | - | 32.00 | Hibs | +0.50 |
| 26/09/2009 | Rangers | 79.50 | - | 64.00 | Aberdeen | +15.50 |
| 26/09/2009 | St Johnstone | 40.50 | - | 24.00 | Dundee Utd | +16.50 |
| 26/09/2009 | St Mirren | 24.00 | - | 72.50 | Celtic | -48.50 |
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