Prediction Ratings are what they say they are - ratings that will tell you where the value bet is. They are based on the last 4 home matches and the last 4 away matches.

The ratings are based on attacking play in previous performances, which is the only way you can realistically rate a team properly.

What do the numbers mean?

I like to say that 20pts difference is the same as 1 clear goal superior to the other team.

Ok here is an example of 3 matches and I'll explain how I see what the ratings are telling me:

Example 1

Man Utd 82 v 15 Fulham +67 1.25 4.50 10.00

This would suggest Man Utd are no value at all. The ratings have them at 2 goals superior, so an obvious win on the cards.

Example 2

Hull 40 v Arsenal 28+12 4.00 3.25 1.70

This would suggest that backing Hull and the draw is good value, as Arsenal seem to be average away from home.

Example 3

Leeds 67 v 35 Leicester +27 2.50 3.25 2.50

This would suggest backing Leeds and the draw would be a strong bet, as they are clearly superior and perhaps Leicester were being priced on reputation, rather than actual performances.

Below are the latest prediction ratings for the Italian Serie A and this page will be updated 2 days before every match.

Latest Italian Serie A Football Fixtures

07/03/2009	Genoa	41.75 v 45.75	Inter	-4.00	3.00	3.20	2.78
07/03/2009	Roma	51.75 v 31.25	Udinese	+20.50	2.04	3.25	5.00
07/03/2009	Torino	33.25 v 43.50	Juventus	-10.25	3.70	3.25	2.40
08/03/2009	Bologna	29.25 v 20.75	Sampdoria	+8.50	2.44	3.25	3.50
08/03/2009	Catania	45.00 v 29.00	Siena	+16.00	2.28	3.10	4.10
08/03/2009	Chievo	38.00 v 36.75	Cagliari	+1.25	2.38	3.20	3.70
08/03/2009	Fiorentina	52.75 v 31.50	Palermo	+21.25	1.71	3.60	6.60
08/03/2009	Lecce	19.25 v 22.00	Reggina	-2.75	2.26	3.20	4.00
08/03/2009	Milan	50.50 v 39.50	Atalanta	+11.00	1.63	3.90	7.40
08/03/2009	Napoli	31.00 v 43.50	Lazio	-12.50	2.47	3.20	3.55

Betting Advice: No Bets.

28/02/2009	Juventus	37.75 v 25.00	Napoli	+12.75	1.70	3.60	7.20
28/02/2009	Lazio	28.25 v 39.25	Bologna	-11.00	1.78	3.60	6.00
01/03/2009	Atalanta	49.25 v 32.75	Chievo	+16.50	1.99	3.25	5.50
01/03/2009	Cagliari	27.25 v 29.75	Torino	-2.50	2.06	3.25	4.60
01/03/2009	Inter	51.00 v 49.00	Roma	+2.00	1.88	3.40	5.50
01/03/2009	Palermo	41.50 v 20.50	Catania	+21.00	1.86	3.40	5.50
01/03/2009	Reggina	26.50 v 56.25	Fiorentina	-29.75	3.45	3.25	2.50
01/03/2009	Sampdoria	38.00 v 55.25	Milan	-17.25	3.50	3.25	2.50
01/03/2009	Siena	34.00 v 40.00	Genoa	-6.00	2.80	3.10	3.00
01/03/2009	Udinese	45.50 v 29.50	Lecce	+16.00	1.77	3.50	6.40

Betting Advice: No Bets.

21/02/2009	Bologna	29.75 v 48.75	Inter	-19.00	6.00	3.45	1.83
21/02/2009	Palermo	48.25 v 43.50	Juventus	+4.75	3.30	3.25	2.54
21/02/2009	Roma	52.50 v 32.25	Siena	+20.25	1.61	3.95	8.00
22/02/2009	Catania	40.25 v 27.00	Reggina	+13.25	1.96	3.35	5.30
22/02/2009	Fiorentina	54.50 v 36.50	Chievo	+18.00	1.46	4.50	10.00
22/02/2009	Lecce	20.75 v 53.50	Lazio	-32.75	3.15	3.25	2.60
22/02/2009	Milan	51.75 v 39.50	Cagliari	+12.25	1.54	4.10	8.40
22/02/2009	Napoli	32.50 v 41.25	Genoa	-8.75	2.25	3.40	3.80
22/02/2009	Sampdoria	34.00 v 37.00	Atalanta	-3.00	2.34	3.30	3.75
22/02/2009	Torino	31.50 v 33.25	Udinese	-1.75	2.50	3.20	3.35

Betting Advice: No Bets.

07/02/2009	Lecce	24.25 v 48.50	Inter	-24.25	7.40	4.00	1.62
07/02/2009	Milan	54.25 v 22.50	Reggina	+31.75	1.23	6.60	22.00
08/02/2009	Cagliari	24.25 v 31.75	Atalanta	-7.50	2.10	3.20	4.50
08/02/2009	Catania	42.00 v 39.25	Juventus	+2.75	4.80	3.45	1.97
08/02/2009	Fiorentina	58.00 v 50.50	Lazio	+7.50	1.80	3.50	6.20
08/02/2009	Palermo	55.75 v 26.00	Napoli	+29.75	2.18	3.25	4.10
08/02/2009	Roma	53.50 v 35.00	Genoa	+18.50	1.81	3.60	5.70
08/02/2009	Sampdoria	30.00 v 26.50	Siena	+3.50	1.85	3.30	6.00
08/02/2009	Torino	27.50 v 33.75	Chievo	-6.25	1.90	3.40	5.50
08/02/2009	Udinese	40.50 v 36.50	Bologna	+4.00	1.80	3.55	6.20

Betting Advice: No Bets.

31/01/2009	Juventus	49.25 v 40.00	Cagliari	+9.25	1.46	4.60	9.60
31/01/2009	Napoli	41.00 v 29.75	Udinese	+11.25	2.02	3.30	5.00
01/02/2009	Atalanta	39.50 v 16.50	Catania	+23.00	2.02	3.30	4.80
01/02/2009	Bologna	32.00 v 44.00	Fiorentina	-12.00	3.60	3.20	2.42
01/02/2009	Chievo	21.25 v 37.00	Sampdoria	-15.75	3.00	3.20	2.76
01/02/2009	Genoa	40.50 v 38.75	Palermo	+1.75	2.01	3.25	4.90
01/02/2009	Inter	50.75 v 29.75	Torino	+21.00	1.25	6.60	17.50
01/02/2009	Lazio	28.25 v 46.75	Milan	-18.50	4.10	3.25	2.16
01/02/2009	Reggina	30.25 v 56.50	Roma	-26.25	6.40	3.80	1.70
01/02/2009	Siena	35.75 v 31.25	Lecce	+4.50	2.02	3.20	5.00

Betting Advice: No Bets.

28/01/2009	Atalanta	38.25 v 37.75	Bologna	+0.50	1.82	3.40	6.00
28/01/2009	Cagliari	25.25 v 35.00	Siena	-9.75	1.91	3.30	5.60
28/01/2009	Catania	47.25 v 54.25	Inter	-7.00	6.00	3.55	1.80
28/01/2009	Chievo	21.50 v 30.50	Lecce	-9.00	2.20	3.25	4.20
28/01/2009	Fiorentina	59.00 v 22.75	Napoli	+36.25	1.75	3.55	6.60
28/01/2009	Milan	57.25 v 33.75	Genoa	+23.50	1.45	4.40	10.50
28/01/2009	Roma	58.00 v 42.25	Palermo	+15.75	1.53	4.30	8.20
28/01/2009	Sampdoria	37.50 v 48.25	Lazio	-10.75	2.60	3.20	3.35
28/01/2009	Torino	30.50 v 26.25	Reggina	+4.25	1.91	3.45	5.20
28/01/2009	Udinese	33.50 v 36.25	Juventus	-2.75	5.50	3.55	1.85

Betting Advice: Lay Sampdoria @ 2.62 Betfair

24/01/2009	Juventus	51.75 v 45.50	Fiorentina	+6.25	1.77	3.65	6.00
24/01/2009	Reggina	33.75 v 28.25	Chievo	+5.50	2.14	3.20	4.40
25/01/2009	Bologna	29.00 v 39.75	Milan	-10.75	6.20	3.60	1.75
25/01/2009	Genoa	50.50 v 18.00	Catania	+32.50	1.63	3.80	7.20
25/01/2009	Inter	54.75 v 43.75	Sampdoria	+11.00	1.50	4.30	9.60
25/01/2009	Lazio	34.25 v 34.00	Cagliari	+0.25	1.71	3.70	6.60
25/01/2009	Lecce	17.50 v 27.00	Torino	-9.50	2.28	3.10	4.00
25/01/2009	Napoli	45.50 v 54.75	Roma	-9.25	2.90	3.25	2.88
25/01/2009	Palermo	51.50 v 41.00	Udinese	+10.50	2.06	3.30	4.60
25/01/2009	Siena	41.50 v 34.25	Atalanta	+7.25	2.46	3.05	3.65

Betting Advice: No Bets.

17/01/2009	Milan	60.75 v 44.25	Fiorentina	+16.50	1.63	3.85	7.60
17/01/2009	Siena	44.00 v 21.50	Reggina	+22.50	1.86	3.30	6.00
18/01/2009	Atalanta	40.25 v 60.00	Inter	-19.75	5.20	3.40	1.92
18/01/2009	Cagliari	26.25 v 42.50	Udinese	-16.25	2.38	3.25	3.60
18/01/2009	Catania	43.75 v 29.00	Bologna	+14.75	2.04	3.30	4.80
18/01/2009	Chievo	14.00 v 24.00	Napoli	-10.00	3.60	3.20	2.42
18/01/2009	Lazio	39.75 v 39.00	Juventus	+0.75	3.75	3.15	2.40
18/01/2009	Lecce	20.50 v 22.50	Genoa	-2.00	2.70	3.15	3.20
18/01/2009	Sampdoria	38.75 v 37.50	Palermo	+1.25	2.00	3.20	5.00
18/01/2009	Torino	36.75 v 49.50	Roma	-12.75	4.33	3.30	2.12

Betting Advice: No Bets.

14/01/2009

Roma

53.50 v 44.50

Sampdoria

+9.00

1.80

3.40

6.00

Betting Advice: No Bets.

10/01/2009	Genoa	45.00 v 28.50	Torino	+16.50	1.87	3.40	5.80
10/01/2009	Inter	51.00 v 30.50	Cagliari	+20.50	1.30	6.00	15.00
11/01/2009	Bologna	28.50 v 26.75	Chievo	+1.75	1.91	3.35	5.60
11/01/2009	Fiorentina	51.25 v 29.50	Lecce	+21.75	1.43	4.50	11.50
11/01/2009	Juventus	60.50 v 38.00	Siena	+22.50	1.29	5.80	17.00
11/01/2009	Napoli	42.75 v 15.25	Catania	+27.50	1.62	3.80	8.00
11/01/2009	Palermo	52.50 v 23.75	Atalanta	+28.75	2.12	3.25	4.40
11/01/2009	Reggina	40.25 v 41.50	Lazio	-1.25	3.25	3.20	2.56
11/01/2009	Roma	48.50 v 39.25	Milan	+9.25	2.86	3.15	2.88
11/01/2009	Udinese	31.25 v 40.50	Sampdoria	-9.25	2.28	3.15	3.95

Betting Advice: No Bets.

20/12/2008	Lazio	44.25 v 36.50	Palermo	+7.75	2.00	3.30	4.90
20/12/2008	Siena	57.25 v 53.00	Inter	+4.25	6.80	3.75	1.70
21/12/2008	Atalanta	39.50 v 37.25	Juventus	+2.25	4.80	3.30	1.99
21/12/2008	Cagliari	43.25 v 12.25	Reggina	+31.00	1.83	3.40	5.70
21/12/2008	Catania	43.00 v 42.00	Roma	+1.00	5.10	3.30	1.97
21/12/2008	Chievo	16.75 v 32.00	Genoa	-15.25	2.66	3.15	3.15
21/12/2008	Lecce	16.00 v 24.00	Bologna	-8.00	2.22	3.05	4.30
21/12/2008	Milan	52.75 v 44.75	Udinese	+8.00	1.68	3.85	6.60
21/12/2008	Sampdoria	44.00 v 39.50	Fiorentina	+4.50	2.66	3.10	3.15
21/12/2008	Torino	33.75 v 22.75	Napoli	+11.00	2.84	3.15	3.00

Betting Advice: Over 2.5 Goals (Siena v Inter) @ 2.21 Bet365 , Lay Napoli @ 3.35 Betfair

13/12/2008	Bologna	21.75 v 22.00	Torino	-0.25	2.28	3.20	3.95
13/12/2008	Napoli	39.25 v 28.75	Lecce	+10.50	1.51	4.10	9.60
14/12/2008	Fiorentina	55.25 v 17.25	Catania	+38.00	1.53	4.00	9.40
14/12/2008	Genoa	44.75 v 28.50	Atalanta	+16.25	1.94	3.30	5.10
14/12/2008	Inter	42.00 v 18.50	Chievo	+23.50	1.21	7.00	23.00
14/12/2008	Juventus	54.25 v 36.75	Milan	+17.50	2.34	3.20	3.80
14/12/2008	Palermo	43.75 v 39.75	Siena	+4.00	1.89	3.35	5.80
14/12/2008	Reggina	42.75 v 24.00	Sampdoria	+18.75	2.58	3.05	3.40
14/12/2008	Roma	42.25 v 26.75	Cagliari	+15.50	1.45	4.33	12.00
14/12/2008	Udinese	30.50 v 33.50	Lazio	-3.00	2.38	3.15	3.70

Betting Advice: Lay Sampdoria @ 3.40 Betfair or Reggina 1x @ 1.36 Blue Square

06/12/2008	Chievo	23.00 v 40.25	Roma	-17.25	6.00	3.55	1.80
06/12/2008	Lazio	44.50 v 62.75	Inter	-18.25	4.30	3.30	2.15
07/12/2008	Atalanta	34.50 v 55.50	Udinese	-21.00	2.44	3.10	3.55
07/12/2008	Cagliari	46.25 v 30.75	Palermo	+15.50	2.60	3.10	3.25
07/12/2008	Lecce	16.50 v 36.25	Juventus	-19.75	6.20	3.60	1.76
07/12/2008	Milan	49.75 v 19.75	Catania	+30.00	1.32	5.60	14.00
07/12/2008	Napoli	35.50 v 38.50	Siena	-3.00	1.65	3.75	7.20
07/12/2008	Reggina	49.25 v 19.25	Bologna	+30.00	2.24	3.05	4.00
07/12/2008	Sampdoria	57.75 v 36.50	Genoa	+21.25	2.46	3.00	3.60
07/12/2008	Torino	34.50 v 39.50	Fiorentina	-5.00	3.35	3.15	2.54

Betting Advice: Lay Palermo @ 3.40 Betfair or Cagliari 1x @ 1.36 Bet365

29/11/2008	Catania	43.50 v 28.00	Lecce	+15.50	1.95	3.30	5.10
29/11/2008	Juventus	42.25 v 13.00	Reggina	+29.25	1.29	6.00	15.00
30/11/2008	Atalanta	42.25 v 40.50	Lazio	+1.75	2.62	3.25	3.15
30/11/2008	Cagliari	46.50 v 20.50	Sampdoria	+26.00	2.66	3.10	3.25
30/11/2008	Genoa	46.00 v 17.50	Bologna	+28.50	1.65	3.75	7.40
30/11/2008	Inter	50.00 v 27.75	Napoli	+22.25	1.57	3.95	8.60
30/11/2008	Palermo	31.25 v 35.75	Milan	-4.50	3.95	3.25	2.22
30/11/2008	Roma	48.75 v 45.25	Fiorentina	+3.50	2.02	3.35	4.60
30/11/2008	Siena	53.50 v 22.75	Torino	+30.75	2.24	3.10	4.00
30/11/2008	Udinese	30.50 v 21.50	Chievo	+9.00	1.50	4.20	9.60

Betting Advice: Lay Sampdoria @ 3.35 Betfair

22/11/2008	Fiorentina	49.50 v 48.50	Udinese	+1.00	2.01	3.20	4.60
22/11/2008	Inter	43.00 v 37.25	Juventus	+5.75	2.12	3.20	4.20
23/11/2008	Bologna	18.00 v 26.00	Palermo	-8.00	3.00	3.10	2.74
23/11/2008	Chievo	20.75 v 26.25	Siena	-5.50	2.30	3.05	3.80
23/11/2008	Lazio	46.25 v 31.75	Genoa	+14.50	2.01	3.25	4.60
23/11/2008	Lecce	24.25 v 34.00	Roma	-9.75	4.20	3.25	2.04
23/11/2008	Napoli	34.25 v 27.75	Cagliari	+6.50	1.65	3.65	7.40
23/11/2008	Reggina	48.50 v 24.75	Atalanta	+23.75	2.64	3.05	3.15
23/11/2008	Sampdoria	49.00 v 21.00	Catania	+28.00	1.80	3.35	5.70
23/11/2008	Torino	29.25 v 31.50	Milan	-2.25	5.30	3.50	1.83

Betting Advice: Lay Atalanta @ 3.40 Betfair

15/11/2008	Palermo	34.00 v 48.50	Inter	-14.50	5.00	3.30	1.96
16/11/2008	Atalanta	41.00 v 27.25	Napoli	+13.75	2.98	3.10	2.84
16/11/2008	Cagliari	45.75 v 37.25	Fiorentina	+8.50	3.30	3.15	2.56
16/11/2008	Catania	38.50 v 18.50	Torino	+20.00	2.20	3.10	4.30
16/11/2008	Milan	47.75 v 21.25	Chievo	+26.50	1.22	6.60	22.00
16/11/2008	Roma	49.25 v 39.50	Lazio	+9.75	2.38	3.15	3.60
16/11/2008	Sampdoria	42.00 v 21.25	Lecce	+20.75	1.65	3.55	7.40
16/11/2008	Siena	42.25 v 19.75	Bologna	+22.50	2.00	3.20	5.00
16/11/2008	Udinese	39.00 v 4.00	Reggina	+35.00	1.42	4.40	10.00

Betting Advice: No Bets.

13/11/2008

Juventus

42.25 v 35.50

Genoa

+6.75

1.60

3.70

8.00

Betting Advice: No Bets.

08/11/2008	Bologna	14.50 v 34.50	Roma	-20.00	5.60	3.45	1.91
08/11/2008	Torino	26.00 v 31.25	Palermo	-5.25	2.54	3.05	3.40
09/11/2008	Catania	33.25 v 24.50	Cagliari	+8.75	2.16	3.10	4.30
09/11/2008	Chievo	29.75 v 37.75	Juventus	-8.00	7.20	3.85	1.64
09/11/2008	Fiorentina	53.00 v 28.25	Atalanta	+24.75	1.62	3.75	7.80
09/11/2008	Genoa	41.25 v 3.75	Reggina	+37.50	1.56	3.90	8.00
09/11/2008	Inter	46.00 v 45.75	Udinese	+0.25	1.58	3.80	8.40
09/11/2008	Lazio	53.75 v 26.75	Siena	+27.00	1.70	3.60	7.50
09/11/2008	Lecce	26.50 v 31.75	Milan	-5.25	7.20	3.85	1.61
09/11/2008	Napoli	36.25 v 20.50	Sampdoria	+15.75	1.89	3.30	5.30

Betting Advice: Lay Milan @ 1.61 Betfair

01/11/2008	Juventus	39.50 v 45.00	Roma	-5.50	2.11	3.35	4.30
01/11/2008	Reggina	44.75 v 44.00	Inter	+0.75	10.50	4.70	1.43
02/11/2008	Atalanta	43.75 v 22.25	Lecce	+21.50	1.83	3.40	5.90
02/11/2008	Cagliari	28.75 v 28.25	Bologna	+0.50	2.12	3.20	4.50
02/11/2008	Lazio	52.25 v 24.00	Catania	+28.25	1.67	3.60	8.40
02/11/2008	Milan	49.75 v 25.25	Napoli	+24.50	1.77	3.60	6.20
02/11/2008	Palermo	37.25 v 19.00	Chievo	+18.25	1.65	3.80	7.40
02/11/2008	Sampdoria	40.50 v 21.00	Torino	+19.50	1.80	3.45	6.20
02/11/2008	Siena	39.00 v 45.00	Fiorentina	-6.00	3.20	3.05	2.76
02/11/2008	Udinese	37.25 v 25.50	Genoa	+11.75	1.94	3.30	5.50

Betting Advice: No Bets.

29/10/2008	Bologna	15.00 v 37.25	Juventus	-22.25	4.60	3.30	2.00
29/10/2008	Catania	31.25 v 44.33	Udinese	-13.08	2.78	3.10	3.00
29/10/2008	Chievo	35.25 v 49.25	Lazio	-14.00	3.40	3.20	2.44
29/10/2008	Fiorentina	52.00 v 47.75	Inter	+4.25	3.30	3.35	2.25
29/10/2008	Genoa	45.75 v 24.75	Cagliari	+21.00	1.67	3.60	6.80
29/10/2008	Lecce	31.50 v 35.00	Palermo	-3.50	2.88	3.00	2.96
29/10/2008	Milan	52.25 v 20.75	Siena	+31.50	1.24	5.70	15.00
29/10/2008	Napoli	36.00 v 12.50	Reggina	+23.50	1.47	4.30	9.60
29/10/2008	Roma	49.25 v 20.50	Sampdoria	+28.75	1.81	3.65	5.50
29/10/2008	Torino	30.75 v 30.50	Atalanta	+0.25	2.50	3.05	3.40

Betting Advice: Lay Chievo @ 3.60 Betfair Fiorentina Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.24 Betfair

25/10/2008	Juventus	40.00 v 24.33	Torino	+15.67	1.60	4.00	7.60
25/10/2008	Siena	26.67 v 26.33	Catania	+0.34	2.30	3.15	3.90
26/10/2008	Atalanta	48.33 v 37.00	Milan	+11.33	5.10	3.50	1.91
26/10/2008	Cagliari	27.33 v 24.67	Chievo	+2.66	2.24	3.10	4.20
26/10/2008	Inter	52.33 v 22.67	Genoa	+29.66	1.35	5.00	14.00
26/10/2008	Lazio	58.67 v 31.25	Napoli	+27.42	2.24	3.25	4.00
26/10/2008	Palermo	37.33 v 40.00	Fiorentina	-2.67	2.58	3.10	3.30
26/10/2008	Reggina	46.00 v 22.33	Lecce	+23.67	2.30	3.10	3.85
26/10/2008	Sampdoria	31.33 v 31.67	Bologna	-0.34	1.80	3.55	6.20
26/10/2008	Udinese	41.75 v 39.33	Roma	+2.42	2.60	3.20	3.25

Betting Advice: Lay Milan @ 1.88 Betfair

18/10/2008	Fiorentina	41.67 v 14.00	Reggina	+27.67	1.48	4.20	10.50
18/10/2008	Napoli	36.50 v 37.67	Juventus	-1.17	2.63	3.20	3.25
19/10/2008	Bologna	10.33 v 54.00	Lazio	-43.67	3.85	3.15	2.30
19/10/2008	Catania	27.33 v 37.00	Palermo	-9.67	2.68	3.05	3.20
19/10/2008	Chievo	33.67 v 28.33	Atalanta	+5.34	2.64	3.05	3.35
19/10/2008	Genoa	47.67 v 23.67	Siena	+24.00	1.89	3.30	5.50
19/10/2008	Lecce	35.33 v 34.50	Udinese	+0.83	3.10	3.10	2.72
19/10/2008	Milan	51.33 v 22.00	Sampdoria	+29.33	1.47	4.20	10.50
19/10/2008	Roma	52.33 v 34.33	Inter	+18.00	3.50	3.10	2.50
19/10/2008	Torino	32.33 v 26.33	Cagliari	+6.00	1.97	3.30	5.00

Betting Advice: Lay Bologna @ 3.90 Betfair