German Bundesliga Football Prediction Ratings 2009/2010

Prediction Ratings are what they say they are - ratings that will tell you where the value bet is. They are based on the last 4 home matches and the last 4 away matches.

The ratings are based on attacking play in previous performances, which is the only way you can realistically rate a team properly.

What do the numbers mean?

I like to say that 20pts difference is the same as 1 clear goal superior to the other team.

Ok here is an example of 3 matches and I'll explain how I see what the ratings are telling me:

Example 1

Arsenal 91 v 21 Hull +70 1.22 4.40 15.00

This would suggest Arsenal are no value at all. The ratings have them over 2 goals superior, so an obvious win on the cards.

Example 2

Wigan 45 v Arsenal 23 +22  4.30 3.15 1.60

This would suggest that backing Wigan and the draw is good value,  as Arsenal seem to be average away from home.

Example 3

Leeds 67 v 35 Leicester +32 2.50 3.25 2.50

This would suggest backing Leeds and the draw would be a strong bet, as they are clearly superior and perhaps Leicester were being priced on reputation, rather than actual performances.

From Mid December 2009 - Additional Ratings!

You will see that there are 2 numbers in the centre as well now. This denotes each teams average over the last 2 games, which should give the ratings another level of accuracy.

Below are the latest prediction ratings for the German Bundesliga.

12/03/2010	Schalke 04	36.25	45.50	45.50 - 73.50	73.50	66.25	Stuttgart	-30.00
13/03/2010	Bayern Munich	56.75	42.50	42.50 - 23.50	23.50	16.75	Freiburg	+40.00
13/03/2010	Bochum	28.50	31.00	31.00 - 30.50	30.50	37.75	Dortmund	-9.25
13/03/2010	Hannover 96	22.75	26.50	26.50 - 21.00	21.00	28.25	Frankfurt	-5.50
13/03/2010	Hertha Berlin	28.25	19.50	19.50 - 33.50	33.50	32.25	Nurnberg	-4.00
13/03/2010	Moenchengladbach	44.25	49.50	49.50 - 36.00	36.00	29.75	Wolfsburg	+14.50
14/03/2010	Hoffenheim	28.50	35.50	35.50 - 58.50	58.50	50.00	Werder Bremen	-21.50
14/03/2010	Leverkusen	56.75	43.00	43.00 - 46.50	46.50	45.75	Hamburg	+11.00

06/03/2010	Dortmund	45.00	59.50	59.50 - 42.00	42.00	37.25	Moenchengladbach	+7.75
06/03/2010	Frankfurt	33.75	37.00	37.00 - 31.50	31.50	35.50	Schalke 04	-1.75
06/03/2010	Freiburg	18.25	16.50	16.50 - 11.50	11.50	25.25	Hannover 96	-7.00
06/03/2010	Hamburg	43.75	43.00	43.00 - 49.50	49.50	47.75	Hertha Berlin	-4.00
06/03/2010	Koln	40.50	31.00	31.00 - 55.00	55.00	69.25	Bayern Munich	-28.75
06/03/2010	Werder Bremen	31.50	38.50	38.50 - 83.00	83.00	60.75	Stuttgart	-29.25
06/03/2010	Wolfsburg	39.75	43.50	43.50 - 31.50	31.50	41.50	Bochum	-1.75
07/03/2010	Hoffenheim	33.00	44.00	44.00 - 9.00	9.00	14.75	Mainz	+18.25
07/03/2010	Nurnberg	20.50	21.50	21.50 - 45.50	45.50	45.75	Leverkusen	-25.25

26/02/2010	Schalke 04	36.00	34.00	34.00 - 34.50	34.50	47.00	Dortmund	-11.00
27/02/2010	Bochum	21.00	21.00	21.00 - 43.00	43.00	25.75	Nurnberg	-4.75
27/02/2010	Hertha Berlin	31.25	33.00	33.00 - 22.00	22.00	18.25	Hoffenheim	+13.00
27/02/2010	Leverkusen	62.00	59.00	59.00 - 20.50	20.50	29.50	Koln	+32.50
27/02/2010	Mainz	28.50	26.50	26.50 - 64.50	64.50	54.25	Werder Bremen	-25.75
27/02/2010	Moenchengladbach	45.75	44.00	44.00 - 18.50	18.50	15.50	Freiburg	+30.25
27/02/2010	Stuttgart	46.25	38.50	38.50 - 35.00	35.00	29.75	Frankfurt	+16.50
28/02/2010	Bayern Munich	64.25	66.00	66.00 - 68.00	68.00	59.50	Hamburg	+4.75
28/02/2010	Hannover 96	19.50	16.00	16.00 - 29.00	29.00	30.75	Wolfsburg	-11.25

19/02/2010	Hoffenheim	26.75	21.50	21.50 - 33.00	33.00	38.00	Moenchengladbach	-11.25
20/02/2010	Dortmund	42.00	31.50	31.50 - 20.00	20.00	30.00	Hannover 96	+12.00
20/02/2010	Hamburg	42.25	53.00	53.00 - 35.50	35.50	40.75	Frankfurt	+1.50
20/02/2010	Koln	39.75	40.00	40.00 - 59.00	59.00	38.00	Stuttgart	+1.75
20/02/2010	Mainz	32.75	28.50	28.50 - 35.50	35.50	41.00	Bochum	-8.25
20/02/2010	Nurnberg	25.00	30.00	30.00 - 70.00	70.00	72.50	Bayern Munich	-47.50
21/02/2010	Freiburg	14.50	10.50	10.50 - 43.50	43.50	33.75	Hertha Berlin	-19.25
21/02/2010	Werder Bremen	37.75	43.00	43.00 - 51.00	51.00	45.50	Leverkusen	-7.75
21/02/2010	Wolfsburg	46.25	46.00	46.00 - 38.50	38.50	36.50	Schalke 04	+9.75

12/02/2010	Moenchengladbach	40.50	39.00	39.00 - 31.00	31.00	18.00	Nurnberg	+22.50
13/02/2010	Bayern Munich	65.25	71.00	71.00 - 45.00	45.00	49.00	Dortmund	+16.25
13/02/2010	Bochum	18.50	26.00	26.00 - 14.00	14.00	15.00	Hoffenheim	+3.50
13/02/2010	Hannover 96	23.25	19.00	19.00 - 41.50	41.50	42.50	Werder Bremen	-19.25
13/02/2010	Hertha Berlin	30.50	37.00	37.00 - 22.50	22.50	17.00	Mainz	+13.50
13/02/2010	Leverkusen	65.75	70.50	70.50 - 23.50	23.50	31.25	Wolfsburg	+34.50
13/02/2010	Stuttgart	50.50	45.50	45.50 - 45.00	45.00	52.25	Hamburg	-1.75
14/02/2010	Frankfurt	34.25	31.00	31.00 - 10.00	10.00	16.75	Freiburg	+17.50

05/02/2010	Werder Bremen	35.50	24.50	24.50 - 46.00	46.00	35.50	Hertha Berlin	0.00
06/02/2010	Bochum	24.00	21.00	21.00 - 46.00	46.00	39.25	Leverkusen	-15.25
06/02/2010	Freiburg	15.50	20.00	20.00 - 39.50	39.50	36.25	Schalke 04	-20.75
06/02/2010	Hoffenheim	26.25	22.00	22.00 - 39.00	39.00	39.25	Hannover 96	-13.00
06/02/2010	Koln	27.00	50.00	50.00 - 51.00	51.00	46.00	Hamburg	-19.00
06/02/2010	Nurnberg	28.25	19.50	19.50 - 38.50	38.50	28.00	Stuttgart	+0.25
06/02/2010	Wolfsburg	49.50	36.00	36.00 - 83.50	83.50	59.00	Bayern Munich	-9.50
07/02/2010	Dortmund	50.00	30.50	30.50 - 24.50	24.50	27.75	Frankfurt	+22.25
07/02/2010	Mainz	35.00	30.50	30.50 - 32.50	32.50	36.75	Moenchengladbach	-1.75

29/01/2010	Hamburg	37.50	44.50	44.50 - 32.50	32.50	37.25	Wolfsburg	+0.25
30/01/2010	Bayern Munich	49.25	62.50	62.50 - 20.50	20.50	19.25	Mainz	+30.00
30/01/2010	Frankfurt	35.75	30.50	30.50 - 38.50	38.50	28.25	Koln	+7.50
30/01/2010	Hertha Berlin	27.50	29.50	29.50 - 51.50	51.50	39.25	Bochum	-11.75
30/01/2010	Moenchengladbach	40.00	47.50	47.50 - 44.00	44.00	61.25	Werder Bremen	-21.25
31/01/2010	Leverkusen	66.00	65.00	65.00 - 12.50	12.50	20.25	Freiburg	+45.75
31/01/2010	Stuttgart	54.75	54.00	54.00 - 59.50	59.50	51.75	Dortmund	+3.00

22/01/2010	Freiburg	18.25	18.50	18.50 - 17.00	17.00	26.25	Stuttgart	-8.00
23/01/2010	Bochum	19.25	11.00	11.00 - 34.50	34.50	34.75	Schalke 04	-15.50
23/01/2010	Dortmund	55.75	52.50	52.50 - 59.50	59.50	49.25	Hamburg	+6.50
23/01/2010	Hertha Berlin	28.75	24.00	24.00 - 43.00	43.00	41.50	Moenchengladbach	-12.75
23/01/2010	Mainz	39.00	37.00	37.00 - 40.00	40.00	41.75	Hannover 96	-2.75
23/01/2010	Nurnberg	36.75	20.00	20.00 - 46.00	46.00	27.50	Frankfurt	+9.25
23/01/2010	Werder Bremen	38.75	32.50	32.50 - 75.00	75.00	54.75	Bayern Munich	-16.00
24/01/2010	Hoffenheim	36.25	32.00	32.00 - 40.00	40.00	38.00	Leverkusen	-1.75
24/01/2010	Wolfsburg	49.00	46.50	46.50 - 23.00	23.00	19.75	Koln	+29.25

15/01/2010	Bayern Munich	43.25	59.50	59.50 - 16.00	16.00	42.25	Hoffenheim	+1.00
16/01/2010	Frankfurt	39.00	37.50	37.50 - 43.50	43.50	63.00	Werder Bremen	-24.00
16/01/2010	Hamburg	35.25	31.50	31.50 - 23.50	23.50	36.00	Freiburg	-0.75
16/01/2010	Hannover 96	25.50	27.50	27.50 - 24.00	24.00	21.75	Hertha Berlin	+3.75
16/01/2010	Leverkusen	54.00	61.00	61.00 - 11.50	11.50	23.00	Mainz	+31.00
16/01/2010	Moenchengladbach	40.25	42.00	42.00 - 46.50	46.50	34.25	Bochum	+6.00
16/01/2010	Stuttgart	52.00	55.50	55.50 - 39.00	39.00	39.25	Wolfsburg	+12.75
17/01/2010	Koln	21.50	39.50	39.50 - 53.00	53.00	38.75	Dortmund	-17.25

19/12/2009	Bayern Munich	41.75	36.00	36.00 - 25.00	25.00	20.50	Hertha Berlin	+21.25
19/12/2009	Dortmund	64.50	69.50	69.50 - 28.00	28.00	38.00	Freiburg	+26.50
19/12/2009	Frankfurt	41.50	41.00	41.00 - 42.00	42.00	41.75	Wolfsburg	-0.25
19/12/2009	Hannover 96	21.75	24.00	24.00 - 27.00	27.00	19.75	Bochum	+2.00
19/12/2009	Leverkusen	58.00	67.00	67.00 - 41.00	41.00	43.00	Moenchengladbach	+15.00
19/12/2009	Stuttgart	45.75	55.50	55.50 - 51.00	51.00	47.25	Hoffenheim	-1.50
20/12/2009	Hamburg	28.25	30.50	30.50 - 78.50	78.50	70.50	Werder Bremen	-42.25
20/12/2009	Koln	15.00	4.00	4.00 - 47.00	47.00	28.00	Nurnberg	-13.00

11/12/2009	Hertha Berlin	28.75	25.50	-	32.50	32.50	Leverkusen	-3.75
12/12/2009	Bochum	23.50	27.00	-	34.50	38.25	Bayern Munich	-14.75
12/12/2009	Freiburg	26.50	11.00	-	18.00	15.25	Koln	+11.25
12/12/2009	Hoffenheim	41.75	30.50	-	31.00	22.25	Frankfurt	+19.50
12/12/2009	Moenchengladbach	33.25	32.50	-	39.50	41.50	Hannover 96	-8.25
12/12/2009	Nurnberg	41.25	37.00	-	41.00	40.75	Hamburg	+0.50
12/12/2009	Werder Bremen	51.00	46.50	-	33.00	36.50	Schalke 04	+14.50
13/12/2009	Mainz	35.75	39.50	-	17.50	41.00	Stuttgart	-5.25
13/12/2009	Wolfsburg	53.50	63.00	-	44.00	35.75	Dortmund	+17.75

04/12/2009	Bayern Munich	36.75	27.00	-	40.00	32.75	Moenchengladbach	+4.00
05/12/2009	Dortmund	51.00	59.00	-	50.00	24.25	Nurnberg	+26.75
05/12/2009	Frankfurt	33.75	40.50	-	34.50	20.75	Mainz	+13.00
05/12/2009	Hamburg	31.75	39.00	-	68.50	49.00	Hoffenheim	-17.25
05/12/2009	Hannover 96	31.75	23.50	-	36.00	34.25	Leverkusen	-2.50
05/12/2009	Stuttgart	36.75	48.50	-	22.00	23.25	Bochum	+13.50
05/12/2009	Wolfsburg	48.00	51.50	-	48.50	39.50	Freiburg	+8.50
06/12/2009	Koln	12.75	3.50	-	82.50	74.75	Werder Bremen	-62.00
06/12/2009	Schalke 04	49.00	46.50	-	19.50	16.50	Hertha Berlin	+32.50

27/11/2009	Bochum	27.50	27.50	-	16.50	17.50	Koln	+10.00
28/11/2009	Hertha Berlin	26.75	33.50	-	9.00	15.75	Frankfurt	+11.00
28/11/2009	Hoffenheim	53.75	40.50	-	24.50	30.50	Dortmund	+23.25
28/11/2009	Mainz	34.75	41.00	-	39.00	43.75	Hamburg	-9.00
28/11/2009	Moenchengladbach	35.50	38.50	-	35.00	35.50	Schalke 04	0.00
28/11/2009	Nurnberg	38.50	53.50	-	48.00	48.75	Freiburg	-10.25
28/11/2009	Werder Bremen	47.75	45.00	-	39.50	44.25	Wolfsburg	+3.50
29/11/2009	Hannover 96	34.75	19.50	-	34.50	44.25	Bayern Munich	-9.50
29/11/2009	Leverkusen	44.75	47.00	-	35.50	44.25	Stuttgart	+0.50

21/11/2009	Dortmund	36.50	59.50	-	31.00	28.25	Mainz	+8.25
21/11/2009	Frankfurt	28.00	42.00	-	45.00	37.75	Moenchengladbach	-9.75
21/11/2009	Freiburg	32.50	18.00	-	62.50	48.00	Werder Bremen	-15.50
21/11/2009	Koln	22.75	26.00	-	43.50	50.50	Hoffenheim	-27.75
21/11/2009	Schalke 04	40.75	47.00	-	43.50	41.50	Hannover 96	-0.75
21/11/2009	Stuttgart	25.00	36.00	-	16.00	16.25	Hertha Berlin	+8.75
21/11/2009	Wolfsburg	42.00	44.00	-	9.00	9.50	Nurnberg	+32.50
22/11/2009	Bayern Munich	47.50	47.50	-	32.50	44.25	Leverkusen	+3.25
22/11/2009	Hamburg	35.75	26.00	-	12.50	14.25	Bochum	+21.50

30/10/2009	Dortmund	30.00	43.00	-	13.50	21.50	Hertha Berlin	+8.50
31/10/2009	Hamburg	42.00	24.50	-	25.50	27.50	Moenchengladbach	+14.50
31/10/2009	Koln	25.50	22.00	-	43.50	44.25	Hannover 96	-18.75
31/10/2009	Nurnberg	29.50	45.50	-	67.00	57.25	Werder Bremen	-27.75
31/10/2009	Schalke 04	38.00	51.50	-	32.50	52.00	Leverkusen	-14.00
31/10/2009	Stuttgart	23.25	25.00	-	42.00	52.00	Bayern Munich	-28.75
31/10/2009	Wolfsburg	37.00	44.50	-	7.00	18.50	Mainz	+18.50
01/11/2009	Frankfurt	26.25	27.00	-	24.50	15.50	Bochum	+10.75
01/11/2009	Freiburg	30.25	42.00	-	29.50	45.00	Hoffenheim	-14.75

23/10/2009	Leverkusen	48.00	42.50	-	36.50	33.00	Dortmund	+15.00
24/10/2009	Bayern Munich	44.75	47.50	-	22.50	33.00	Frankfurt	+11.75
24/10/2009	Hannover 96	41.50	50.00	-	53.00	45.25	Stuttgart	-3.75
24/10/2009	Hoffenheim	45.50	67.00	-	10.00	23.75	Nurnberg	+21.75
24/10/2009	Mainz	32.75	28.50	-	49.50	40.50	Freiburg	-7.75
24/10/2009	Moenchengladbach	43.00	32.50	-	18.50	19.00	Koln	+24.00
25/10/2009	Bochum	40.00	27.50	-	33.50	42.00	Werder Bremen	-2.00
25/10/2009	Hertha Berlin	27.00	20.00	-	49.00	52.50	Wolfsburg	-25.50
25/10/2009	Schalke 04	38.50	34.50	-	48.50	59.50	Hamburg	-21.00

17/10/2009	Frankfurt	24.75	14.00	-	39.50	41.75	Hannover 96	-17.00
17/10/2009	Freiburg	37.50	47.00	-	54.00	47.75	Bayern Munich	-10.25
17/10/2009	Hamburg	56.25	45.50	-	56.00	59.00	Leverkusen	-2.75
17/10/2009	Koln	23.25	19.50	-	25.50	23.00	Mainz	+0.25
17/10/2009	Nurnberg	20.25	23.50	-	16.50	30.00	Hertha Berlin	-9.75
17/10/2009	Stuttgart	24.50	14.00	-	36.00	30.75	Schalke 04	-6.25
17/10/2009	Werder Bremen	57.00	50.50	-	57.50	41.00	Hoffenheim	+16.00
18/10/2009	Dortmund	34.50	13.50	-	16.00	15.00	Bochum	+19.50
18/10/2009	Wolfsburg	39.25	40.00	-	30.50	31.50	Moenchengladbach	+7.75

03/10/2009	Bochum	46.33	36.50	-	40.50	52.67	Wolfsburg	-6.33
03/10/2009	Borussia Mönchengladbach	48.00	42.00	-	33.00	30.33	Dortmund	+17.67
03/10/2009	FC Bayern München	50.33	62.00	-	31.00	22.33	1. FC Köln	+28.00
03/10/2009	Hannover 96	33.33	30.00	-	45.50	43.00	Freiburg	-9.67
03/10/2009	Leverkusen	42.33	43.50	-	22.00	32.67	1. FC Nürnberg	+9.67
03/10/2009	Mainz	37.00	43.00	-	60.50	43.67	Hoffenheim	-6.67
04/10/2009	Hertha Berlin	29.00	27.50	-	81.00	65.67	Hamburg	-36.67
04/10/2009	Stuttgart	28.67	21.50	-	47.50	38.00	Werder Bremen	-9.33

25/09/2009	Nurnberg	18.67	-	8.67	Bochum	+10.00
26/09/2009	Dortmund	37.33	-	27.33	Schalke	+10.00
26/09/2009	Koln	28.67	-	65.00	Leverkusen	-36.33
26/09/2009	Frankfurt	28.67	-	32.67	Stuttgart	-4.00
26/09/2009	Hamburg	63.33	-	52.67	Bayern Munich	+10.66
26/09/2009	Werder Bremen	55.67	-	28.67	Mainz	+27.00
26/09/2009	Wolfsburg	36.33	-	39.00	Hannover	-2.67
27/09/2009	Freiburg	28.33	-	37.00	Gladbach	-8.67
27/09/2009	Hoffenheim	39.67	-	36.33	Hertha Berlin	+3.34

Betting Advice:  

Lay Koln @ 3.75 Betfair - Click here to place bet!

or Back Leverkusen X2 @ 1.30 Coral - Click here to place bet!

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18/09/2009	Schalke	42.50	-	56.00	Wolfsburg	-13.50
19/09/2009	Bayern Munich	42.00	-	37.50	Nurnberg	+4.50
19/09/2009	Bochum	52.50	-	20.50	Mainz	+32.00
19/09/2009	Hannover	33.00	-	29.50	Dortmund	+4.50
19/09/2009	Gladbach	53.50	-	24.50	Hoffenheim	+29.00
19/09/2009	Stuttgart	35.00	-	19.50	Koln	+15.50
20/09/2009	Frankfurt	35.50	-	70.50	Hamburg	-35.00
20/09/2009	Hertha Berlin	34.00	-	31.50	Freiburg	+2.50
20/09/2009	Leverkusen	53.50	-	50.50	Werder Bremen	-3.00

Betting Advice:  

Lay Mainz @ 3.75 Betfair - Click here to place bet!

or Back Bochum 1X @ 1.32 Stan James - Click here to place bet!

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Lay Hoffenheim @ 2.44 Betfair - Click here to place bet!

or Back Gladbach 1X @ 1.57 Stan James - Click here to place bet!