French Ligue One Football Prediction Ratings 09/10

Prediction Ratings are what they say they are - ratings that will tell you where the value bet is. They are based on the last 4 home matches and the last 4 away matches.

The ratings are based on attacking play in previous performances, which is the only way you can realistically rate a team properly.

What do the numbers mean?

I like to say that 20pts difference is the same as 1 clear goal superior to the other team.

Ok here is an example of 3 matches and I'll explain how I see what the ratings are telling me:

Example 1

Arsenal 91 v 21 Hull +70 1.22 4.40 15.00

This would suggest Arsenal are no value at all. The ratings have them over 2 goals superior, so an obvious win on the cards.

Example 2

Wigan 45 v Arsenal 23 +22  4.30 3.15 1.60

This would suggest that backing Wigan and the draw is good value,  as Arsenal seem to be average away from home.

Example 3

Leeds 67 v 35 Leicester +32 2.50 3.25 2.50

This would suggest backing Leeds and the draw would be a strong bet, as they are clearly superior and perhaps Leicester were being priced on reputation, rather than actual performances.

From Mid December 2009 - Additional Ratings!

You will see that there are 2 numbers in the centre as well now. This denotes each teams average over the last 2 games, which should give the ratings another level of accuracy.

Below are the latest prediction ratings for the French Ligue One.

13/03/2010	Le Mans	25.50	24.50	24.50 - 12.00	12.00	20.25	Nice	+5.25
13/03/2010	Lorient	37.50	34.50	34.50 - 25.50	25.50	29.75	Lens	+7.75
13/03/2010	Lyon	36.50	32.00	32.00 - 25.00	25.00	29.00	St Etienne	+7.50
13/03/2010	Monaco	35.25	21.00	21.00 - 48.00	48.00	40.75	Bordeaux	-5.50
13/03/2010	Montpellier	43.50	46.50	46.50 - 23.50	23.50	31.00	Auxerre	+12.50
13/03/2010	Nancy	24.00	19.00	19.00 - 23.50	23.50	18.00	Boulogne	+6.00
13/03/2010	PSG	39.50	32.50	32.50 - 16.00	16.00	22.25	Sochaux	+17.25
14/03/2010	Lille	49.75	48.50	48.50 - 28.50	28.50	26.25	Grenoble	+23.50
14/03/2010	Toulouse	32.25	37.00	37.00 - 48.50	48.50	39.25	Marseille	-7.00
14/03/2010	Valenciennes	34.25	48.00	48.00 - 25.00	25.00	24.75	Rennes	+9.50

10/03/2010

Bordeaux

40.25

47.00

47.00 - 23.50

23.50

31.00

Auxerre

+9.25

06/03/2010	Auxerre	33.25	30.50	30.50 - 17.50	17.50	31.75	Valenciennes	+1.50
06/03/2010	Boulogne	17.00	14.50	14.50 - 42.50	42.50	48.50	Lyon	-31.50
06/03/2010	Lens	42.00	42.50	42.50 - 32.50	32.50	21.00	PSG	+21.00
06/03/2010	Nice	39.75	42.50	42.50 - 37.00	37.00	38.00	Nancy	+1.75
06/03/2010	Rennes	39.75	34.00	34.00 - 38.50	38.50	34.50	Monaco	+5.25
06/03/2010	Sochaux	26.25	11.50	11.50 - 30.00	30.00	44.00	Toulouse	-17.75
06/03/2010	St Etienne	35.25	49.50	49.50 - 61.00	61.00	66.75	Lille	-31.50
07/03/2010	Bordeaux	50.75	55.50	55.50 - 36.50	36.50	31.75	Montpellier	+19.00
07/03/2010	Grenoble	37.50	47.50	47.50 - 41.00	41.00	24.75	Le Mans	+12.75
07/03/2010	Marseille	47.75	60.00	60.00 - 53.00	53.00	44.75	Lorient	+3.00

27/02/2010	Lorient	32.00	30.00	30.00 - 28.00	28.00	24.00	Sochaux	+8.00
27/02/2010	Lyon	45.50	48.50	48.50 - 34.00	34.00	31.50	Nice	+14.00
27/02/2010	Monaco	47.00	29.50	29.50 - 17.00	17.00	21.25	Boulogne	+25.75
27/02/2010	Montpellier	34.25	30.00	30.00 - 29.50	29.50	27.75	Rennes	+6.50
27/02/2010	Nancy	22.25	30.50	30.50 - 11.50	11.50	24.50	Grenoble	-2.25
27/02/2010	Toulouse	26.75	28.50	28.50 - 20.50	20.50	30.00	Lens	-3.25
27/02/2010	Valenciennes	30.25	32.00	32.00 - 30.00	30.00	28.50	St Etienne	+1.75
28/02/2010	Le Mans	25.50	24.50	24.50 - 48.00	48.00	40.75	Bordeaux	-15.25
28/02/2010	Lille	56.75	52.50	52.50 - 26.50	26.50	25.75	Auxerre	+31.00
28/02/2010	PSG	49.00	48.00	48.00 - 31.50	31.50	43.00	Marseille	+6.00

20/02/2010	Boulogne	17.00	12.00	12.00 - 25.50	25.50	19.00	Le Mans	-2.00
20/02/2010	Grenoble	40.75	37.50	37.50 - 31.00	31.00	34.00	Valenciennes	+6.75
20/02/2010	Lens	48.00	36.50	36.50 - 26.50	26.50	33.25	Monaco	+14.75
20/02/2010	Nice	27.00	26.50	26.50 - 49.00	49.00	41.00	Lorient	-14.00
20/02/2010	PSG	41.50	46.50	46.50 - 54.00	54.00	47.75	Toulouse	-6.25
20/02/2010	St Etienne	35.50	42.00	42.00 - 47.00	47.00	34.25	Montpellier	+1.25
21/02/2010	Marseille	52.75	63.50	63.50 - 34.50	34.50	38.50	Nancy	+14.25
21/02/2010	Rennes	45.50	52.50	52.50 - 68.00	68.00	73.75	Lille	-28.25
21/02/2010	Sochaux	36.25	23.00	23.00 - 40.50	40.50	40.00	Lyon	-3.75

13/02/2010	Le Mans	27.75	21.00	21.00 - 28.50	28.50	25.25	Sochaux	+2.50
13/02/2010	Lille	55.25	51.00	51.00 - 12.50	12.50	21.00	Boulogne	+34.25
13/02/2010	Lyon	41.50	41.00	41.00 - 34.00	34.00	27.25	Lens	+14.25
13/02/2010	Monaco	52.75	49.50	49.50 - 30.00	30.00	41.25	Marseille	+11.50
13/02/2010	Montpellier	30.50	40.50	40.50 - 24.00	24.00	31.25	Grenoble	-0.75
13/02/2010	Nancy	30.50	29.00	29.00 - 29.00	29.00	18.75	PSG	+11.75
13/02/2010	Valenciennes	26.25	20.50	20.50 - 28.50	28.50	29.50	Nice	-3.25
14/02/2010	Auxerre	31.50	28.50	28.50 - 24.50	24.50	27.00	Rennes	+4.50
14/02/2010	Bordeaux	42.00	33.50	33.50 - 33.00	33.00	22.25	St Etienne	+19.75
14/02/2010	Lorient	35.00	40.50	40.50 - 58.00	58.00	50.25	Toulouse	-15.25

06/02/2010	Boulogne	17.50	19.50	19.50 - 27.00	27.00	25.75	Montpellier	-8.25
06/02/2010	Grenoble	35.75	27.50	27.50 - 38.50	38.50	31.25	Auxerre	+4.50
06/02/2010	Lens	43.75	41.50	41.50 - 8.50	8.50	18.75	Le Mans	+25.00
06/02/2010	Nice	27.00	37.00	37.00 - 72.50	72.50	61.25	Lille	-34.25
06/02/2010	PSG	48.75	50.00	50.00 - 36.50	36.50	26.50	Lorient	+22.25
06/02/2010	Rennes	51.50	45.50	45.50 - 46.00	46.00	38.25	Bordeaux	+13.25
06/02/2010	Sochaux	39.75	41.00	41.00 - 39.00	39.00	39.00	Nancy	+0.75
07/02/2010	Marseille	43.25	35.50	35.50 - 46.00	46.00	31.25	Valenciennes	+12.00
07/02/2010	St Etienne	28.25	21.00	21.00 - 30.50	30.50	29.75	Monaco	-1.50
07/02/2010	Toulouse	28.00	27.50	27.50 - 54.50	54.50	45.00	Lyon	-17.00

30/01/2010	Bordeaux	43.75	46.00	46.00 - 25.50	25.50	17.25	Boulogne	+26.50
30/01/2010	Le Mans	30.50	26.50	26.50 - 41.50	41.50	42.25	Toulouse	-11.75
30/01/2010	Lille	66.25	61.00	61.00 - 39.50	39.50	32.75	Lens	+33.50
30/01/2010	Monaco	48.75	64.50	64.50 - 29.00	29.00	23.25	Nice	+25.50
30/01/2010	Montpellier	35.75	38.50	38.50 - 54.50	54.50	49.25	Marseille	-13.50
30/01/2010	Nancy	33.00	14.00	14.00 - 33.00	33.00	32.50	Lorient	+0.50
30/01/2010	Rennes	46.25	38.50	38.50 - 37.50	37.50	40.25	Grenoble	+6.00
31/01/2010	Auxerre	35.25	36.00	36.00 - 27.00	27.00	18.00	St Etienne	+17.25
31/01/2010	Lyon	35.25	42.50	42.50 - 9.50	9.50	25.50	PSG	+9.75
31/01/2010	Valenciennes	35.00	28.50	28.50 - 20.00	20.00	23.75	Sochaux	+11.25

19/01/2010	St Etienne	29.00	29.00	29.00 - 26.00	26.00	28.75	Rennes	+0.25
20/01/2010	Boulogne	17.75	22.00	22.00 - 37.00	37.00	24.50	Valenciennes	-6.75
20/01/2010	Grenoble	40.25	44.00	44.00 - 33.50	33.50	42.00	Bordeaux	-1.75
20/01/2010	Lens	48.25	59.50	59.50 - 21.50	21.50	18.25	Montpellier	+30.00
20/01/2010	Lorient	30.50	34.00	34.00 - 39.50	39.50	34.25	Lyon	-3.75
20/01/2010	Marseille	48.75	42.00	42.00 - 12.50	12.50	19.00	Le Mans	+29.75
20/01/2010	Nice	32.50	27.50	27.50 - 25.00	25.00	26.50	Auxerre	+6.00
20/01/2010	PSG	45.75	36.50	36.50 - 40.00	40.00	32.25	Monaco	+13.50
20/01/2010	Sochaux	43.25	49.50	49.50 - 79.50	79.50	55.50	Lille	-12.25
20/01/2010	Toulouse	32.00	25.00	25.00 - 42.50	42.50	41.00	Nancy	-9.00

16/01/2010	Auxerre	35.25	34.50	34.50 - 29.50	29.50	22.75	Boulogne	+12.50
16/01/2010	Grenoble	35.50	44.00	44.00 - 11.50	11.50	14.50	St Etienne	+21.00
16/01/2010	Le Mans	36.50	34.50	34.50 - 16.50	16.50	27.75	Lorient	+8.75
16/01/2010	Lille	63.75	59.50	59.50 - 8.50	8.50	25.00	PSG	+38.75
16/01/2010	Monaco	37.25	56.00	56.00 - 22.00	22.00	28.75	Sochaux	+8.50
16/01/2010	Montpellier	34.50	20.50	20.50 - 30.50	30.50	36.25	Nice	-1.75
16/01/2010	Nancy	29.75	32.00	32.00 - 35.50	35.50	41.00	Lyon	-11.25
16/01/2010	Rennes	41.25	57.50	57.50 - 20.50	20.50	28.25	Lens	+13.00
16/01/2010	Valenciennes	35.25	32.00	32.00 - 42.50	42.50	35.75	Toulouse	-0.50
17/01/2010	Bordeaux	52.25	50.50	50.50 - 52.50	52.50	48.00	Marseille	+4.25

 

15/12/2009	Valenciennes	39.00	38.50	-	28.00	30.75	Auxerre	+8.25
16/12/2009	Le Mans	33.50	38.50	-	43.00	28.75	Grenoble	+4.75
16/12/2009	Lorient	50.00	27.00	-	43.50	57.25	Marseille	-7.25
16/12/2009	Lyon	27.25	28.00	-	16.00	18.50	Boulogne	+8.75
16/12/2009	Monaco	26.50	16.50	-	31.50	36.25	Rennes	-9.75
16/12/2009	Montpellier	47.50	48.50	-	50.50	36.00	Bordeaux	+11.50
16/12/2009	Nancy	25.00	27.50	-	42.00	33.25	Nice	-8.25
16/12/2009	PSG	44.00	55.00	-	36.00	26.00	Lens	+18.00

12/12/2009	Le Mans	41.50	29.00	-	12.00	26.75	Valenciennes	+14.75
12/12/2009	Lens	33.50	37.00	-	49.50	30.75	Nice	+2.75
12/12/2009	Lorient	48.50	47.00	-	28.00	32.75	Auxerre	+15.75
12/12/2009	Marseille	48.75	55.50	-	21.50	19.00	Boulogne	+29.75
12/12/2009	Nancy	21.75	26.50	-	42.00	34.50	Rennes	-12.75
13/12/2009	Lyon	40.25	40.00	-	40.00	32.00	Bordeaux	+8.25
13/12/2009	Monaco	34.50	37.50	-	31.50	39.25	Lille	-4.75
13/12/2009	PSG	36.75	32.00	-	27.50	27.00	St Etienne	+9.75
13/12/2009	Sochaux	33.50	37.00	-	31.00	24.75	Grenoble	+8.75
13/12/2009	Toulouse	34.00	34.50	-	33.50	31.00	Montpellier	+3.00

10/12/2009	Lille	55.75	68.00	-	27.50	27.00	St Etienne	+28.75
10/12/2009	Toulouse	34.00	34.50	-	35.50	30.25	Sochaux	+3.75

05/12/2009	Bordeaux	49.00	54.00	-	41.50	47.50	PSG	+1.50
05/12/2009	Montpellier	43.25	49.50	-	25.50	20.00	Le Mans	+23.25
05/12/2009	Nice	42.50	37.50	-	52.50	56.75	Marseille	-14.25
05/12/2009	Rennes	30.00	25.00	-	39.00	33.75	Lorient	-3.75
05/12/2009	St Etienne	35.50	29.00	-	36.50	27.00	Sochaux	+8.50
05/12/2009	Valenciennes	35.00	32.50	-	24.50	40.25	Monaco	-5.25
06/12/2009	Auxerre	35.50	36.00	-	39.50	31.25	Nancy	+4.25
06/12/2009	Boulogne	16.00	13.50	-	30.50	19.75	Lens	-3.75
06/12/2009	Grenoble	33.25	27.00	-	29.00	32.25	Toulouse	+1.00
06/12/2009	Lille	43.75	51.50	-	46.50	41.00	Lyon	+2.75

02/12/2009

Boulogne

15.75

14.50

-

48.50

36.50

PSG

-20.75

28/11/2009	Lens	32.25	46.00	-	71.00	56.00	Marseille	-23.75
28/11/2009	Lille	39.25	43.50	-	32.00	31.25	Valenciennes	+8.00
28/11/2009	Lorient	57.75	73.00	-	14.50	19.75	Grenoble	+38.00
28/11/2009	PSG	39.25	33.00	-	33.50	30.50	Auxerre	+8.75
28/11/2009	Sochaux	38.75	31.00	-	24.50	22.00	Nice	+16.75
28/11/2009	Toulouse	38.00	32.00	-	21.00	18.25	Boulogne	+19.75
29/11/2009	Le Mans	32.75	28.50	-	27.00	24.25	St Etienne	+8.50
29/11/2009	Lyon	39.75	26.50	-	41.00	46.75	Rennes	-7.00
29/11/2009	Nancy	22.25	22.50	-	21.50	29.25	Bordeaux	-7.00

20/11/2009	Marseille	46.00	61.00	-	53.50	44.00	PSG	+2.00
21/11/2009	Auxerre	35.50	40.00	-	51.50	45.75	Monaco	-10.25
21/11/2009	Bordeaux	43.75	55.00	-	41.50	43.25	Valenciennes	+0.50
21/11/2009	Grenoble	26.00	28.00	-	52.50	43.75	Lyon	-17.75
21/11/2009	Lens	26.25	30.00	-	32.50	26.75	Nancy	-0.50
21/11/2009	Rennes	32.75	30.00	-	15.50	23.50	Le Mans	+9.25
22/11/2009	Montpellier	41.00	46.50	-	41.50	41.50	Lille	-0.50
22/11/2009	Nice	41.75	45.50	-	37.00	33.25	Toulouse	+8.50
22/11/2009	St Etienne	36.50	34.50	-	30.00	28.25	Lorient	+8.25

31/10/2009	Auxerre	34.50	35.00	-	28.50	36.75	Montpellier	-2.25
31/10/2009	Bordeaux	41.75	44.00	-	56.00	48.50	Monaco	-6.75
31/10/2009	Boulogne	12.75	18.50	-	23.00	26.25	Nancy	-13.50
31/10/2009	Grenoble	31.25	39.50	-	47.00	40.00	Lille	-8.75
31/10/2009	Lens	24.25	18.50	-	28.50	27.25	Lorient	-3.00
31/10/2009	Marseille	38.25	42.00	-	35.50	31.75	Toulouse	+6.50
31/10/2009	St Etienne	39.75	42.00	-	35.50	40.25	Lyon	-0.50
01/11/2009	Nice	36.50	47.50	-	14.50	26.50	Le Mans	+10.00
01/11/2009	Rennes	38.00	35.00	-	30.50	39.25	Valenciennes	-1.25
01/11/2009	Sochaux	39.25	46.50	-	24.50	39.25	PSG	0.00

24/10/2009	Bordeaux	40.75	32.50	-	31.50	31.00	Le Mans	+9.75
24/10/2009	Boulogne	21.50	17.00	-	40.00	41.00	Monaco	-19.50
24/10/2009	Grenoble	23.50	24.00	-	21.00	25.00	Nancy	-1.50
24/10/2009	Nice	34.00	38.00	-	35.00	45.75	Lyon	-11.75
24/10/2009	Rennes	40.75	35.50	-	36.50	44.25	Montpellier	-3.50
24/10/2009	Sochaux	37.50	43.00	-	26.50	27.25	Lorient	+10.25
24/10/2009	St Etienne	41.50	38.50	-	45.00	31.00	Valenciennes	+10.50
25/10/2009	Auxerre	28.25	31.00	-	41.50	38.00	Lille	-9.75
25/10/2009	Lens	28.25	22.50	-	29.50	26.25	Toulouse	+2.00
25/10/2009	Marseille	38.25	42.00	-	24.50	39.25	PSG	-1.00

17/10/2009	Auxerre	28.00	34.00	-	37.00	42.50	Bordeaux	-14.50
17/10/2009	Le Mans	39.75	37.00	-	15.50	18.25	Boulogne	+21.50
17/10/2009	Lille	39.75	35.00	-	52.50	46.75	Rennes	-7.00
17/10/2009	Lyon	52.25	53.00	-	25.00	26.75	Sochaux	+25.50
17/10/2009	Montpellier	33.50	37.00	-	21.50	20.00	St Etienne	+13.50
17/10/2009	Nancy	29.33	22.00	-	41.00	44.75	Marseille	-15.42
17/10/2009	Valenciennes	35.50	37.50	-	25.00	23.00	Grenoble	+12.50
18/10/2009	Lorient	35.75	42.50	-	19.50	24.50	Nice	+11.25
18/10/2009	Monaco	36.75	31.50	-	9.00	13.25	Lens	+23.50
18/10/2009	Toulouse	47.00	44.00	-	34.50	40.00	PSG	+7.00

03/10/2009	Grenoble Foot 38	16.67	23.00	-	45.00	45.33	Montpellier HSC	-28.67
03/10/2009	Lens	31.00	30.00	-	45.00	50.33	Lyon	-19.33
03/10/2009	Nice	27.67	25.50	-	48.00	34.67	Valenciennes FC	-7.00
03/10/2009	PSG	46.00	45.50	-	29.50	31.25	Nancy	+14.75
03/10/2009	Rennes	47.33	41.00	-	27.50	24.67	Auxerre	+22.67
04/10/2009	Boulogne	19.00	7.00	-	33.00	31.67	Lille OSC	-12.67
04/10/2009	Marseille	34.00	31.00	-	0.00	42.33	AS Monaco	-8.33
04/10/2009	Toulouse FC	51.33	52.00	-	26.00	28.33	Lorient	+23.00

26/09/2009	Nancy	28.00	-	24.00	Sochaux	+4.00
26/09/2009	Auxerre	23.67	-	22.67	Grenoble	+1.00
26/09/2009	Lorient	36.67	-	43.67	PSG	-7.00
26/09/2009	Lyon	46.33	-	28.00	Toulouse	+18.33
26/09/2009	Monaco	42.00	-	16.50	St Etienne	+25.50
26/09/2009	Montpelier	30.67	-	22.67	Boulogne	+8.00
26/09/2009	Valenciennes	36.00	-	44.67	Marseille	-8.67
27/09/2009	Bordeaux	42.33	-	55.67	Rennes	-13.34
27/09/2009	Le Mans	31.67	-	15.00	Lens	+16.67
27/09/2009	Lille	41.67	-	27.00	Nice	+14.67

Betting Advice:    

---

19/09/2009	Boulogne	26.00	-	48.00	Bordeaux	-22.00
19/09/2009	Grenoble	23.00	-	41.00	Rennes	-18.00
19/09/2009	Lorient	29.00	-	29.00	Nancy	+0.00
19/09/2009	Nice	30.00	-	42.00	Monaco	-12.00
19/09/2009	Sochaux	32.00	-	17.00	Valenciennes	+17.00
19/09/2009	St Etienne	44.50	-	19.00	Auxerre	+25.50
20/09/2009	Marseille	34.50	-	52.00	Montpelier	-17.50
20/09/2009	Lens	34.00	-	34.50	Lille	-0.50
20/09/2009	Toulouse	50.00	-	30.50	Le Mans	+19.50
20/09/2009	PSG	48.00	-	56.50	Lyon	-8.50

Betting Advice:  No Bets.